Methodology

How FUD Index measures crypto market stress.

FUD Index is designed to answer whether crypto markets are calm, greedy, fragile, fearful, or panicking right now, and why. Higher values mean higher fear, uncertainty, volatility, leverage stress, liquidation pressure, and risk-off behavior.

0-100 stress score

Components are normalized to a 0-100 stress scale before being combined into the headline score.

Weighted components

Volatility, leverage proxies, open interest proxies, liquidation proxies, momentum, breadth, dominance, and stablecoin share each contribute.

Not a greed clone

FUD Index is a crypto market stress dashboard. High readings mean higher stress, not higher optimism.

Formula

FUD Index = 0.20 * VolatilityStress + 0.15 * FundingStress + 0.15 * OpenInterestStress + 0.15 * LiquidationStress + 0.15 * MomentumStress + 0.10 * BreadthStress + 0.05 * DominanceStress + 0.05 * StablecoinStress

Each component should be normalized to a 0-100 stress score before applying the weight.

Component weights

What goes into the score

Volatility Stress

20%

Measures BTC and ETH realized volatility from live CoinGecko price history. Implied volatility can be added later.

Funding / Leverage

15%

Currently uses a CoinGecko beta proxy based on volatility, trend pressure, and volume shock until funding data is connected.

Open Interest Risk

15%

Currently uses a CoinGecko beta proxy based on volume shock, volatility, and breadth until futures open interest data is connected.

Liquidation Pressure

15%

Currently uses a CoinGecko beta proxy based on volatility, breadth weakness, and volume shock until liquidation data is connected.

Market Momentum

15%

Scores major assets using live 7-day and 30-day price momentum.

Market Breadth

10%

Checks how broadly stress is spreading across the top crypto assets by market cap.

BTC Dominance Stress

Uses live BTC dominance as a possible sign of flight to relative safety.

Stablecoin Risk-Off

Uses stablecoin market share as a beta proxy for capital moving away from risk assets.

Live beta data note

This beta uses live CoinGecko spot-market data for prices, market cap, volume, price history, BTC dominance, and stablecoin share. Derivatives-only components use transparent spot-market proxies until CoinGlass and Deribit/DVOL-style integrations are enabled.

FUD Index is not financial advice. Scores, charts, and explanations are provided for informational purposes only.